Its a little hard to focus on IT issues, never mind spreadsheets at this time of year, especially after I had a banging skate session yesterday – I’d rather be predicting the tricks I hope to grasp. That and the fact we are now snowed in so I’m wondering how to get to the (also snow bound) airport.
This year I am going to break things out a little differently, instead of 10 or so points I thought I would write a paragraph or so about a few different elements of the IT landscape.
- Office 2010 will get released in the summer
- VS 2010 will get released at a similar time
- VBA development will decline, possibly freefall, as Excel is squeezed into the narrow presentation layer of corp data. Server based .net components and stored procedures etc will do much of the manipulations that traditionally were done in VBA. (larger orgs only – but Excel/C# will be the skill set that replaces Excel/VBA)
- Spreadsheets will continue to be (unfairly) seen as the enemy of quality
- Microsoft’s influence will begin to visibly wane, due to the move to the cloud and the move to hand held computing
- Spreadsheets still not sexy, may well become the technology whose name we speaketh not.
- I don’t foresee a big rush to O2010, but I do think 2010 will benefit from 2007 flaws, like Win7 has from Vistas crapness.
- Sharepoint will become the new End User Computing v IT battleground
- Apple will be the big name in 2010 with big success with the new iPhone and any new iSlate thingy. Gen 1 netbook upgraders and iPhone lovers will snap up any new Apple form factor (and not be worried about the zero control Apple customers have over the hardware they thought they bought, but Apple continues to control, rather firmly)
- Apples pc/notebook share will continue to climb at the expense of Windows
- A chunk of computing will move from the pc to the phone
- Android and the iPhone will become the 2 main phone operating systems
- Software spend is going to get big on these platforms
- OLAP/BI won’t make any massive headway as IT focus on security and regulation, and reduce the priority of user requests.
- Increasing regulation covering all areas of life
- Linux still isn’t going to make it on the desktop, although I reckon Android netbooks will benefit from the halo of Android phones, but in the 2-5 year span
What do you see happening/changing in the next 12 months?